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Goldman Sachs: Given that the moderate oversupply of 400,000 barrels per day and the current normalization of low valuation almost offset each other, the basic expectation is that the average price of Brent crude oil in 2025 will be $76 per barrel.A number of data show that: the distribution of rights and interests of public offerings, near the end of the year, Public Offering of Fund is increasing the distribution of rights and interests. The data shows that the new funds established in the past three months (from September 12 to December 12) have raised a total of 289.803 billion yuan, and the stock funds have raised more than half. Among the above-mentioned sub-IPO funds, 145 funds have earned more than 1% since their establishment, accounting for more than half, and most of them are opening positions quickly. As of December 11th, the revenue of 27 products exceeded 5% (the different shares were calculated separately), and the revenue of the best-performing products reached 51%. More new funds are "queuing for admission". According to the data, before the end of the year, more than 20 funds will be launched for sale, and 80% of them are equity funds. Huaxia, Fuguo, Boss and Jing Shun Great Wall all have products waiting to be issued. At the same time, the fund's self-purchase efforts have been increasing. As of December 12, this year, the net subscription amount of equity funds purchased by fund companies has reached 2.894 billion yuan, an increase of 28% over last year. (SSE)New york Federal Reserve: Michelle Neal, the marketing department, resigned and will officially leave on March 25th, 2025. Neal will be a senior consultant until she leaves the bank, and she will return to work in the private sector. Anna Nordstrom will be the temporary marketing director until Neal leaves.

A number of data show that: the distribution of rights and interests of public offerings, near the end of the year, Public Offering of Fund is increasing the distribution of rights and interests. The data shows that the new funds established in the past three months (from September 12 to December 12) have raised a total of 289.803 billion yuan, and the stock funds have raised more than half. Among the above-mentioned sub-IPO funds, 145 funds have earned more than 1% since their establishment, accounting for more than half, and most of them are opening positions quickly. As of December 11th, the revenue of 27 products exceeded 5% (the different shares were calculated separately), and the revenue of the best-performing products reached 51%. More new funds are "queuing for admission". According to the data, before the end of the year, more than 20 funds will be launched for sale, and 80% of them are equity funds. Huaxia, Fuguo, Boss and Jing Shun Great Wall all have products waiting to be issued. At the same time, the fund's self-purchase efforts have been increasing. As of December 12, this year, the net subscription amount of equity funds purchased by fund companies has reached 2.894 billion yuan, an increase of 28% over last year. (SSE)Industry: The worry about the imbalance between supply and demand still exists, and there is limited room for alumina futures to continue to fall. Since the intraday record of 5,540 yuan/ton on December 5, the main contract price of domestic alumina futures has started to fluctuate and fall, reaching a minimum of 5,077 yuan/ton on December 12, with the cumulative maximum decline exceeding 8%. According to industry insiders, the increase of alumina registered delivery brands and the sharp drop in overseas alumina spot quotations have led to the recent decline in alumina futures prices. Although the short-term news in the market is intertwined, the imbalance between supply and demand in the alumina market has not fundamentally improved, so there is limited room for the subsequent decline of alumina futures prices. (CSI)Russia said it had cracked down on Ukrainian troops in many places, saying that the situation on the front line was tense. On the 12th local time, the Russian Defense Ministry reported that in the past day, Russian tactical aviation, missile troops, artillery, etc. had cracked down on the assembly areas of Ukrainian troops' effective forces and equipment and a production workshop of Ukrainian attack drones in 137 areas. In addition, Russian troops also controlled the "Zarija" settlement in Donetsk. According to the circular, the Russian armed forces continued to defeat the Ukrainian armed forces in Kursk, Russia, and regained control of the "New Ivanovka" settlement in Kursk. On the same day, the General Staff of the Ukrainian Armed Forces issued a war report, saying that as of that afternoon, there were 138 battles in the front line, and the situation on the front line remained tense, mainly in Kulahovo, Pokrovsk and Freimut-Fsk areas. The Ukrainian air force, missile units and artillery units destroyed many Russian military personnel assembly areas and control points. In the Kursk region, the Ukrainian army repelled nine Russian attacks.

The "construction drawing" of capital market reform in 2025 is clear, "expanding patient capital", "attracting social capital to participate in venture capital more vigorously", "deepening comprehensive reform of capital market investment and financing" and "expanding high-level opening up" ... The Central Economic Work Conference was held in Beijing from December 11 to 12, and the economic work in 2025 was deployed. Many formulations and requirements are closely related to the capital market reform, development and stability in 2025. Experts said that in 2025, the capital market reform will continue to be comprehensively promoted, and it will become the focus to expand patient capital, deepen comprehensive reform of investment and financing, and expand high-level opening up. The "construction drawing" of the capital market reform has become clearer, and it is necessary to do a good job in the future to achieve results and further consolidate the "stable" foundation of the market. (CSI)Market News: New Zealand has put forward the reason to the United States that it hopes not to introduce new tariffs during Trump's administration.Many places support housing consumption in the form of issuing housing subsidies. Recently, many places have taken the form of issuing housing subsidies and optimizing housing provident fund policies to support housing consumption and release housing demand. For example, recently, the General Office of the Government of Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region issued "Measures for Promoting the Stable and Healthy Development of the Real Estate Market in Guangxi", which mentioned that "optimizing the housing provident fund policy" and "financial subsidies support the reasonable demand for housing purchase". Shanxi Datong, Hubei Xiangyang, Hubei Xianning and other places have also recently launched relevant measures to support residents' rigid and improved housing demand and boost the real estate market. Zhang Bo, dean of 58 Anjuke Research Institute, said in an interview that the role of promoting housing consumption in "stabilizing the property market" is expected to continue to increase, and more policies will be introduced in the future to help stabilize the property market. (Securities Daily)